AK-Alaska Survey Research: Dunleavy +15, would lead in both 2-way races

[MT Treasurer]

B-b-but muh weak candidate Dunleavy

Anyway, nice. Moving this from Toss-up to Lean R.

[MT Treasurer]

Humiliating for Walker that he's in third. Even Rauner is doing better than he is. Probably going to move this to Likely R, not sure why Bad Boy Begich has to break our hearts like this.

Remember when Republicans were more likely to win NV than AK because of "candidate quality" and incumbency? Pepperidge Farm remembers.

[MT Treasurer]

A few interesting crosstabs:

Southeast Alaska: Walker +18 (45% Walker, 27% Dunleavy, 24% Begich)
Rural Alaska: Begich +1 (35% Begich, 34% Walker, 28% Dunleavy)
Southcentral Alaska: Dunleavy +36 (57% Dunleavy, 21% Begich, 18% Walker)
Anchorage: Dunleavy +7 (43% Dunleavy, 36% Begich, 19% Walker)
Fairbanks: Dunleavy +26 (50% Dunleavy, 24% Begich, 21% Walker)

18-34: Begich +3 (36% Begich, 33% Dunleavy, 25% Walker)
35-44: Dunleavy +10 (42% Dunleavy, 32% Walker, 25% Begich)
45-54: Dunleavy +32 (55% Dunleavy, 23% Begich, 18% Walker)
55+: Dunleavy +19 (48% Dunleavy, 29% Begich, 21% Walker)

White: Dunleavy +24 (49% Dunleavy, 25% Begich, 24% Walker)
Non-white: Begich +11 (43% Begich, 32% Dunleavy, 21% Walker)