Portugal's politics and elections

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Update on the 2017 local elections:

The mayor of Ourém, Paulo Fonseca (PS), is on the verge of be thrown out of office and forbidden to run in the 2017 election due to corruption charges. Apparently the mayor is involved in many bankruptcy dealings and most recently a local business man says be was cheated by the mayor. In this story, a local business man made a loan to the mayor of around 350k euros to save the company in which he was a partner. In this agreement, the local business man would get 50% of the company shares and that he would be repaid. But the man never had any shares and all the checks he received were returned by the bank.

Ourém, which is a big bastion of the PSD in general elections, could fall again in the PSD hands after losing it in 2009.

http://observador.pt/2016/12/01/presidente-de-camara-do-ps-em-risco-de-perda-de-mandato-por-estar-insolvente/

Interesting.
Could any PS candidate even possibly win in 2017, even if they are tainted by this guy?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Update on the 2017 local elections:

The mayor of Ourém, Paulo Fonseca (PS), is on the verge of be thrown out of office and forbidden to run in the 2017 election due to corruption charges. Apparently the mayor is involved in many bankruptcy dealings and most recently a local business man says be was cheated by the mayor. In this story, a local business man made a loan to the mayor of around 350k euros to save the company in which he was a partner. In this agreement, the local business man would get 50% of the company shares and that he would be repaid. But the man never had any shares and all the checks he received were returned by the bank.

Ourém, which is a big bastion of the PSD in general elections, could fall again in the PSD hands after losing it in 2009.

http://observador.pt/2016/12/01/presidente-de-camara-do-ps-em-risco-de-perda-de-mandato-por-estar-insolvente/

Interesting.
Could any PS candidate even possibly win in 2017, even if they are tainted by this guy?

Well, it could be possible. In today's politics anything in possible. However it's very unlikely. The PS barely won it in 2013, year of the big upheaval against the PSD, and because of this scandal i think it's very difficult for PS to find someone who could win.

How will national conditions affect the result?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Update on the 2017 local elections:

The mayor of Ourém, Paulo Fonseca (PS), is on the verge of be thrown out of office and forbidden to run in the 2017 election due to corruption charges. Apparently the mayor is involved in many bankruptcy dealings and most recently a local business man says be was cheated by the mayor. In this story, a local business man made a loan to the mayor of around 350k euros to save the company in which he was a partner. In this agreement, the local business man would get 50% of the company shares and that he would be repaid. But the man never had any shares and all the checks he received were returned by the bank.

Ourém, which is a big bastion of the PSD in general elections, could fall again in the PSD hands after losing it in 2009.

http://observador.pt/2016/12/01/presidente-de-camara-do-ps-em-risco-de-perda-de-mandato-por-estar-insolvente/

Interesting.
Could any PS candidate even possibly win in 2017, even if they are tainted by this guy?

Well, it could be possible. In today's politics anything in possible. However it's very unlikely. The PS barely won it in 2013, year of the big upheaval against the PSD, and because of this scandal i think it's very difficult for PS to find someone who could win.

How will national conditions affect the result?

In Ourém, not much. Both vitories for the PS were quite close. In 2009 they won by 4% and in 2013 by only 0.51%! The trend here seems to be favourable to the PSD.
2013 was a terrible year for the PSD because of many reasons, the 2013 summer crisis was one of them, but mainly the term limits that were imposed came in full effect that year and the PSD was the most affected. Of course there was also a huge division in the party and in many cities the party it's their votes between various candidates causing the PSD to lose some important cities. I don't know how the national scene will be in one year, honestly. A year ago the PS was rocked by losing the election to the PSD/CDS but now they're in government and rising in the polls.

You could say that Portugal is under "eternal 2016" conditions .

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Update on the 2017 local elections:

The mayor of Ourém, Paulo Fonseca (PS), is on the verge of be thrown out of office and forbidden to run in the 2017 election due to corruption charges. Apparently the mayor is involved in many bankruptcy dealings and most recently a local business man says be was cheated by the mayor. In this story, a local business man made a loan to the mayor of around 350k euros to save the company in which he was a partner. In this agreement, the local business man would get 50% of the company shares and that he would be repaid. But the man never had any shares and all the checks he received were returned by the bank.

Ourém, which is a big bastion of the PSD in general elections, could fall again in the PSD hands after losing it in 2009.

http://observador.pt/2016/12/01/presidente-de-camara-do-ps-em-risco-de-perda-de-mandato-por-estar-insolvente/

Interesting.
Could any PS candidate even possibly win in 2017, even if they are tainted by this guy?

Well, it could be possible. In today's politics anything in possible. However it's very unlikely. The PS barely won it in 2013, year of the big upheaval against the PSD, and because of this scandal i think it's very difficult for PS to find someone who could win.

How will national conditions affect the result?

In Ourém, not much. Both vitories for the PS were quite close. In 2009 they won by 4% and in 2013 by only 0.51%! The trend here seems to be favourable to the PSD.
2013 was a terrible year for the PSD because of many reasons, the 2013 summer crisis was one of them, but mainly the term limits that were imposed came in full effect that year and the PSD was the most affected. Of course there was also a huge division in the party and in many cities the party it's their votes between various candidates causing the PSD to lose some important cities. I don't know how the national scene will be in one year, honestly. A year ago the PS was rocked by losing the election to the PSD/CDS but now they're in government and rising in the polls.

You could say that Portugal is under "eternal 2016" conditions .

Well ... you could put it that way but, at the same time, we still have a lot of economic problems and any worldwide shock, or even european, would hurt us very deeply. We are still very vulnerable.

Yeah.
What was the last epoch Portueguese remembered to be great anyway? Early-mid 2000s?