2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The lack of Republican enthusiasm just one year on from winning the White House is astonishing

The GOP is as dysfunctional as ever. Earlier they whined about not having the ball. Now they have the ball and can't agree exactly what to do with it.
The GOP never got to truly settle its internal issues and it shows.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

~BlUe WaVe ImMiNeNt~ 🌊🌊🌊

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[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Hey GOP, where's your megadonors now?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Two other important points:

— No Democratic incumbent is now rated worse than Likely Democratic, a nod to the reality that in a Democratic-leaning environment it will be difficult for Republicans to dislodge many or perhaps even any Democratic incumbents, though there are a handful of Democratic open seats that are more viable Republican targets.

— After these ratings changes, for the first time this cycle we have fewer than 218 seats (the number needed for a majority) at least leaning to the Republicans.

Also here is an interesting blog post explaining why OK-05 should be viewed as more competative then it is

How many seats were counted as at least leaning towards Democrats at this point in 2010?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

So many of those Likely and Lean Dems lost.

Yeah.
I would bet that some Safe Dem ones also fell in 2010, given the sheer depth of the 2010 wave.