CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[Nyvin]

Why don't people just use the CA SoS website?  It's pretty easy to use and gives more updated results.

https://vote.sos.ca.gov/

Newsom pulls ahead in the gov race.....shocker....

[Nyvin]

This is looking bad for dems in CA.

LUL wut. This is what CA-Dems expected. 48 was the scary lockout chance, which appears to have come true as the chance of a potential lockout. 

Anyway, Bryan Caforio and katie Hill are exactly tied in CA-25.

Just that fact that Knight is easily breaching 50 is bad.

That's based off of "one precinct" you know right?

[Nyvin]

The CNN token R is truly idiotic today.

Switching to NYT now.

Switching to New York Times?

Good thing I saved one of my free articles in June for the CA primary results,  stupid pay wall.

[Nyvin]

I know it's still a bit early to say this, but we are seeing House Republicans who won with under 60% of the vote in 2016 at over 60% right now.  I've never quite understood the 'Democrats could gain 10 districts in California.'  2016 was a low for Republicans on the basis of Trump being extremely unpopular and the U.S Senate race featuring two Democrats.

What Republican is over 60%?  Even Doug La Malfa is only at 56% and he should be one of the safest congressional Republicans in the whole state.

[Nyvin]

De Leon just took the lead over Bradley.

[Nyvin]

Democrats pick up AD-76 via shutout

Chavez's old seat....haha!   That's hilarious after he tanked in CA-49

[Nyvin]

Oh for F**k SAKE https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1004225531775242240

Dang,  that would make 2nd place a nearly perfect three way tie. 

[Nyvin]

If there is any lockout, it looks like it might be in CA-8.   Not that that really matters.

[Nyvin]

Kinda funny that CA-10 ended up being the closest to a dem lock out when everyone was fretting over 39, 48, and 49 the whole time.

[Nyvin]

Oh man. Sometimes I find it hard to believe that Jacob Wohl is an actual person-

https://twitter.com/JacobAWohl/status/1004224965757947905

LOL.  He's in for a rude shock in November.

https://twitter.com/JacobAWohl/status/1004352230550573057

I'd like him to explain that one

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1004777899319283714?s=19

After today's update, Hans has stretched his lead to 129 votes.

Yikes. Rouda is clearly the better candidate here.

True, but Rohrabacher should be favored over either one.

He's damaged goods in a district Clinton won.   I'd put him as one of the top 3 or top 5 most vulnerable incumbents in the country.  He didn't even get a third of the vote in his primary.

[Nyvin]

It's even worse on Fox News...there they're pinning Cox's top two win as some glorious victory and how it practically dooms the Democrats in November.   They'll take literally ANYTHING as a big win at this point.

[Nyvin]

Any new updates on CA48?

Current count:

* DANA ROHRABACHER (REP)   38,629   30.5%
HANS KEIRSTEAD (DEM)   21,893   17.3%
HARLEY ROUDA (DEM)   21,806   17.2%
SCOTT BAUGH (REP)   20,332   16.0%

Next update at 5pm PDT Monday.  https://www.ocvote.com/fileadmin/live/pri2018/results.htm

That was the count yesterday so we got no new info dump today

The slow count in this election and all the recent elections in Washington, Oregon, and Colorado is a good argument against taking those voting systems national.

Why?   Voters love it, it's very popular.  It's just an inconvenience for us election geeks, who cares about that.

[Nyvin]

I wonder when Stewart and EW Jackson will get it through their thick heads that they aren't electable in Virginia anymore.

[Nyvin]

Lol,  mistake vote dump for Jackson in Virginia Beach.

[Nyvin]

Stewart will win,  too much NOVA out, not enough Richmond/Tidewater.

It'll be really interesting to see Republicans try to push their message that Democrats are the real racist party after seeing all these neo-nazi and neo-confederates run and WIN in a lot of GOP primaries....

A Frankenstein of their own creation.

[Nyvin]

Comstock fell below 60%.    

Has DDHQ stopped updating or something?

[Nyvin]

Did PW just dump 91 precincts?

[Nyvin]

Stewart is nearing a 3k lead now.   Even with whatever Richmond City puts out,  the Confederates have won today.

[Nyvin]

Isn't Arrington the more moderate candidate between her and Sanford?   Why would Trump want her to win???

[Nyvin]

When do we find out about the rank choice voting results?

[Nyvin]

I'm really thinking the NRSC will triage the VA senate race at some point or another to focus on other states,  along with PA.

Corey Stewart and Lou Barletta.....wow, great job Republicans!

[Nyvin]

So is Tarkanian actually going to be the NV-3 R candidate or is this just early numbers BS?

[Nyvin]

Sanford concedes: 

https://twitter.com/MaryCaitlinByrd/status/1006728609657245701

[Nyvin]

Holy Nevada! Yes I know 2014 was awful.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1006732817479487488

Such high energy! Maybe NV Democrats can finally consolidate their grip on the state govt for the first time in a generation.

2014 basically had no Democratic governor primary and Dem turnout was historically bad in both the primary and GE. 2010 would be a better comparison here.

Hence the extremely shrunk text: "Yes I know 2014 was awful."