2018 Senatorial Elections

[100% pro-life no matter what]

With the assumption that we go in with a 52 R, 48 D Senate:

With President Trump R+4 (56 R, 44 D):
Montana
North Dakota
Indiana
Missouri
West Virginia
Nevada

With President Clinton R+10 (62 R, 38 D):
Montana
North Dakota
Indiana
Missouri
West Virginia
Ohio
Florida
Virginia
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Should Clinton somehow win in 2016, we would be looking at a GOP mega-tsunami in 2018:

Arizona: Safe R
California: Likely D
Connecticut: Likely D
Delaware: Likely D
Florida: Lean R**
Hawaii: Likely D
Indiana: Likely R**
Maine: Leans I
Maryland: Likely D
Massachusetts: Likely D
Michigan: Tossup/Tilt R**
Minnesota: Tossup/Tilt R**
Mississippi: Safe R
Missouri: Safe R**
Montana: Likely R**
Nebraska: Safe R
Nevada: Likely R
New Jersey: Tossup/Tilt R**
New Mexico: Lean D
New York: Likely D
North Dakota: Safe R**
Ohio: Likely R**
Pennsylvania: Leans R**
Rhode Island: Likely D
Tennessee: Safe R
Texas: Safe R
Utah: Safe R
Vermont: Likely D
Virginia: Leans R**
Washington: Leans D
West Virginia: Leans R**
Wisconsin: Leans R**
Wyoming: Safe R

R+13  Note that I would not have a single race Safe D, and I think there would be the potential for the Democrats losing 18-20 of their 23 seats in that cycle under President Hillary.  Can you say VETO-PROOF MAJORITY??

If Trump gets elected, we still stand a good chance of getting the filibuster-proof majority by picking up the easy five (MO, ND, IN, WV, and MT) and probably two of the swing states (assuming that we lose IL and WI, but gain NV in 2016).

[100% pro-life no matter what]

DEM Pickups: NV
GOP Pickups: MO, IN, ND, OH, WV, MT, WI

Net: R+6 (58-42 GOP)

I really want 60 seats, and the map realistically should get us there except for the potentially unfavorable climate.  Florida and Wisconsin should be very, very close, either way.

Also, Flake goes down to Ward in a primary, but Ward beats Sinema in the general (Sinema is easily more radical than Ward, by the way).