ND-DFM Research: Trump +11

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Wouldnt this be TRUMP country?

Not really, he is a horrific fit for eastern ND.

Poll seems solid except for the whole voters under 40 being bigly for Trump, not sure what is going on there.

Perhaps a bunch of young oil workers who have migrated in from Texas and Oklahoma?

A lot of deeply red states have no or reverse age gaps (Kentucky might be the best example of a significant reverse age gap), and all indications are that the young vote will be so fractured in 2016 that there won't be that stark gap that we say in 2012.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

If this is true, South Dakota is definitely possible for Clinton. I accept my accolades for not having it as Safe R these last few months.

I'm the only one who thinks this here, but I've been fairly confident that South Dakota will vote to the right of North Dakota.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

If this is true, South Dakota is definitely possible for Clinton. I accept my accolades for not having it as Safe R these last few months.

I'm the only one who thinks this here, but I've been fairly confident that South Dakota will vote to the right of North Dakota.

Your predictions are junk. GA/AZ as Safe R? NM as only Lean D?

Johnson makes NM hard to predict.  For what it's worth, Hillary's chance in GA is similar to Trump's in NM, and I think 538 is still underestimating Trump (he's a 60-70% favorite to win, I'd say).