State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[Ebsy]

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/jeffco-legislator-mccaherty-resigns-focuses-on-county-exec-race/article_46a67ae4-b40a-5279-a8a1-54637af9644c.html

New special election in northern Jefferson County/South St. Louis County in Missouri HD 97.

This is a potentially competitive seat, as Democrats used to be very competitive here before 2014. For example, the 2012 result:



Should be a decent test of whether Trump's base is holding together and turning out, or whether people are returning to the Democrats.

[Ebsy]

Missouri HD 97 went 43 for Obama and 55 for Romney in 2012 and 33 for Clinton and 61 for Trump in 2016. If you are looking for "Trump Democrats", this is where you will find them.

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/910973381859856384

Dem pollster Myers Research & Strategic Services gives Dem Dhingra 55-41 lead in Nov race for control of WA Senate

[Ebsy]

The two races in Florida should be very interesting to watch tonight. Both are Clinton seats where Republicans won downballot in 2016.

[Ebsy]

Diaz leading by 8 points. Lol Florida Dems are trash

Just the early votes so far, which he was expected to win. He is still probably going to win, but will likely get closer.

[Ebsy]

Not sure what is confusing about heavily Cuban seats continuing to vote Republican downballot. Taddeo  is almost certainly going to improve on the 2016 result and if Democrats can keep improving, they will start winning these seats. A lot of mouth breathers on this forum have rather unrealistic expectations, honestly.

[Ebsy]

Not sure what is confusing about heavily Cuban seats continuing to vote Republican downballot. Taddeo  is almost certainly going to improve on the 2016 result and if Democrats can keep improving, they will start winning these seats. A lot of mouth breathers on this forum have rather unrealistic expectations, honestly.

Homeboy Rubio only won this seat by 3 points. It voted five points to the left statewide of the Senate result. Crist won it in 2014. It's really embarrassing

I think what is more embarrassing is refusing the wait for the final result before deluging this thread with useless word vomit.

[Ebsy]

50-48 with election day vote still out.

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/KlandriganUL/status/912821494698381314

Kevin Landrigan‏ @KlandriganUL  3m
1st returns NH House special: Dem Kari Lerner edges ex-Rep. James Headd, 310-303 in Chester but she's a Realtor in her hometown. #nhpolitics

I will see if I can scare up precinct results from 2016 for this precinct.

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/KlandriganUL/status/912821494698381314

Kevin Landrigan‏ @KlandriganUL  3m
1st returns NH House special: Dem Kari Lerner edges ex-Rep. James Headd, 310-303 in Chester but she's a Realtor in her hometown. #nhpolitics

I will see if I can scare up precinct results from 2016 for this precinct.

[Ebsy]

Kevin Landrigan‏ @KlandriganUL  4s
Hold phone. NH House Dem special stunning showing in Auburn, loses, 323-297 but in ex-Rep. Headd's hometown. Up to Sandown. #nhpolitics

[Ebsy]

Auburn:



Sandown:

[Ebsy]

[Ebsy]

D+1.

[Ebsy]

Sandown closes at 8 EST in 2 minutes.

SHOWDOWN IN SANDOWN

[Ebsy]

Tracked down some results for South Carolina: https://twitter.com/SpartanburgDem/status/912829178021650432

Spartanburg Co. Dems‏ @SpartanburgDem  22m
Unofficial Results with 16 precincts reporting:
Rosalyn Henderson Myers: 826 - 89.78%
Michael Fowler: 92 - 10%

[Ebsy]

Tracked down some results for South Carolina: https://twitter.com/SpartanburgDem/status/912829178021650432

Spartanburg Co. Dems‏ @SpartanburgDem  22m
Unofficial Results with 16 precincts reporting:
Rosalyn Henderson Myers: 826 - 89.78%
Michael Fowler: 92 - 10%

Is this an ultra safe seat for Ds?

Clinton 72 Trump 24, Obama 79 Romney 20 in 2012, so yeah it is a super safe seat, but this is still a fairly big swing.

[Ebsy]

Please note the post above your's.

[Ebsy]

Kevin Landrigan‏ @KlandriganUL  4 minutes ago
Source: Believe it or not, Sandown is counting a second time, discrepancy between votes and ballots cast. #nhpolitics

Rigging is occurring I see.

[Ebsy]

D+1 baby

[Ebsy]

Apparently Rockingham HD 4 is the 4th most GOP seat in the entire state of New Hampshire.

[Ebsy]

So, as stated above, the next special election is Florida HD 44 on October 10. This race has been a headache to Florida Democrats as the only candidate that filed, Paul Chandler, voted in Missouri twice in 2016 and thus was not eligible to run, and refused to withdraw until after the deadline to replace his name on the ballot. There have been allegations of intentional sabotage. The new Democratic candidate, Eddy Dominguez, will face the winner of the GOP primary, Bobby Olszewski, though Paul Chandler's name will still appear on the ballot.

The district went Clinton 51, Trump 45 in 2016 and Obama 46, Romney 53 in 2012. On paper it should be competitive, but I think other factors will likely keep this seat in GOP hands.

[Ebsy]

Will be a primary election in SD 26 on the day of the Moore-Jones election. This has been an uncontested seat for a long time.

[Ebsy]

Disappointing result in Mississippi, but you can't win them all.

[Ebsy]

It would be quite a surprise if Democrats manage to win tonight in Florida.