MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread

[libertpaulian]

Does Josh Hawley win Johnson County, which he lost to Tony Monetti in the primary?

How is this a serious question?

55 to 43 Hawley would be my guess.

I don't see how Wagner and McCaskill both lose in your mind, especially if the national environment is as toxic for the GOP on Election night as it is now.

[libertpaulian]

It's James O'Keefe...

[libertpaulian]

Galloway will pull McCaskill over the finish line.

LOL:

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2002&fips=29&f=0&off=3&elect=0&class=1

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2002&off=11&elect=0&fips=29&f=0

Missouri is a much more polarized state than back in 2002.

[libertpaulian]

To have been a top recruit Hawley has run a pretty sh**t campaign. I see McCaskill doing one more magic trick and pulling this one out narrowly. The fact that Republicans haven't put this race away either shows how dire this year for Republicans or confirms my suspicion that Claire McCaskill is the best politician in American history.

If she's the best politician, how come she hasn't led a poll since the end of the summer?  Mind you, the state has trended FAR to the right, at least in a partisan sense, since Obama took the oath of office.

[libertpaulian]

Gun to your head, who wins?  I'd especially like to hear from the Show-Me-Staters.

[libertpaulian]

It's really been quite shocking how bad of a candidate Hawley has turned out to be. He could still win because of Missouri's lean, but it genuinely feels like he's done everything in his power to lose.

Same story with Mike Braun here in Indiana.