LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term

[libertpaulian]

From a FB friend:

As of Day 2, the Louisiana early vote numbers are:

43.64% D
42.17% R
14.19% Other

Right now, Republicans have increased their improvement from 2015, now running 6.29% better. "Other" is also now doing almost 1% better than 2015.

When you break it down by race, it is:

73.27% White
24.33% Black
  2.4%    Other

Compared to 2015 early vote, so far the electorate is about 2% more white.

Traditionally for a Democrat to win statewide in Louisiana, they need 30%+ of the electorate to be black. But much of the black vote doesn't vote until election day. The more they fall behind on early vote means they have to do more work on election day. Early vote numbers are also a gauge of voter enthusiasm.

We'll see how this develops more in the next 5 days.

[libertpaulian]

I'm just glad the national Democrats are staying out of this race.

[libertpaulian]

I wonder how many Trump voters JBE will get.

[libertpaulian]

I know that social media is one of the last things we should be looking at as a potential factor for a candidate's success or failure; however, I notice that JBE's Facebook posts have more positive responses than negative. 

Last year, McCaskill and Donnelly got ratio'd in nearly all of their FB posts, especially after Kavanaugh.

[libertpaulian]

One good thing going for JBE is that AA voters seem to be motivated to vote for him.  Jim Hood didn't have that advantage.

[libertpaulian]

Wasn't Trafalgar the same group that said Donnelly +12?  And Bevin +5?