Slate/Votecastr real time election projections (user search)
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Author Topic: Slate/Votecastr real time election projections  (Read 24082 times)
EliteLX
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,040
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85
« on: November 08, 2016, 04:02:28 PM »
I have a great feeling these live data numbers are junk products of a wishy washy model, lol.
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EliteLX
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,040
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2016, 04:15:50 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2016, 04:18:22 PM by EliteLX »
Quote from: 2016election on November 08, 2016, 04:10:54 PM
Quote from: Adriano Chiká on November 08, 2016, 03:56:57 PM
Pennsylvania: C+3
Clinton 48%
Trump 45%

Florida: C+3
Clinton 48%
Trump 45%

Colorado: C+2
Clinton 46%
Trump 44%

Iowa: T+1
Clinton 45%
Trump 46%

Nevada: C+1
Clinton 46%
Trump 45%

Ohio: T+1
Clinton 45%
Trump 46%

Wisconsin: C+5
Clinton 48%
Trump 43%

New Hampshire: C+4
Clinton 47%
Trump 43%

If accurate, CLinton won, I was wrong thought Trump would take it but wasn't to be. Sucks, but ill live, congrats to the left.

Trump is still likely not to get to 270, but these models and early vote counts do not paint a strong picture of results for tonight at all, lol.

Great way to make wrong conclusions is to base them on drastically skewed early voting or a couple hours worth of election day votes cast based in part with turnout projections .etc .etc .etc.
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EliteLX
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,040
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85
« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2016, 05:01:13 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on November 08, 2016, 04:25:52 PM
It's worth noting that for all the fuss, the betting markets have not moved more than a single percent in the last 24 hours. Chill out guys, these things are just a very unreliable experiment.
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EliteLX
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,040
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2016, 05:22:57 PM »
Yeah this is a disaster of a project.
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