CNN/ORC: Clinton loses edge, Biden stronger

[HillOfANight]

http://www.cnn.com/2015/09/10/politics/hillary-clinton-poll-women/index.html
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/09/10/demsclinton.pdf

51% Carson to 46% Clinton
49% Bush to 47% Clinton
48% Trump to 48% Clinton

They say Clinton gets 39% of the white vote, while Bush gets 58%, while Clinton gets 66% of the non-white vote, and Bush gets 29%, which implies a 70% white electorate.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/05/26/the-hard-demographic-truth-facing-republicans-in-2016-in-2-charts/

Romney got 17% of the nonwhite vote, Bush got 26% in 2004 which wouldn't be enough now, but if Jeb can keep it at 29%, he can win.

[HillOfANight]

Also noticed, Carson got 39% of the non-white vote. Not sure how that would hold up when people hear he compared Obamacare to slavery, or when Trump takes him to town for his fetal tissue research or abortion referrals.

[HillOfANight]

Her email saga has been an albatross on her campaign. As a Hillary supporter, I do cringer when I hear her IT staffer wants to plead the 5th. With her finally saying sorry, and without the media repeatedly asking her if she's sorry, or sorry for the confusion, I think this is her lowpoint.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/sep/10/justice-department-rules-hillary-clinton-followed-/
Also, doesn't look like the Department of Justice really cares to pursue this, so it's likely going to wind down soon.

[HillOfANight]

Biden is presumably picking up the working-class, economically centre-left, socially moderate/conservative/apathetic whites who have deserted the Democratic Party in recent decades on the basis of its increasing emphasis on social issues.

Remarkable considering that Biden was the first from the administration to back gay marriage. His positions might be different, but he does carry the persona.