NC-Elon University: Clinton +6

[HillOfANight]

https://www.elon.edu/E/elon-poll/poll-archive/100416.html
https://www.elon.edu/e/CmsFile/GetFile?FileID=649 (crosstabs work in IE, not in Chrome for me)

7 point swing to her since 9/20

Clinton 45 (43)
Trump 39 (44)
Johnson 9 (6)
Undecided/Other/Refused 7

White
Clinton 39 (35)
Trump 61 (65)

Black
Clinton 98 (98)
Trump 2 (2)

Goofy likely voter screen: In order for a respondent to qualify as a likely voter, they had to say they planned to vote in November, that they were absolutely certain they planned to vote and that they knew the precinct where they would vote.

[HillOfANight]

This is the poll with the super-tight LV screen too. Clinton has led in all 4 NC polls since the debate. Nothing else to say but great poll for HRC

I think they have been relatively Clinton friendly.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-north-carolina-president-trump-vs-clinton/edit#!minpct=30&maxpct=55&mindate=2011-06-01&maxdate=2016-10-04&smoothing=moderate&showpoints=yes&showsplines=yes&hiddenpollsters=gravis-marketing,ppp-d,ppp-d-nelp,ppp-vote-vets,surveyusa-civitas-r,surveyusa-twc-news-north-carolina,cbs-yougov,ipsos-reuters,upi-cvoter,washington-post-surveymonkey,bloomberg-selzer,cnn,civitas-r,fox-news,gqr-d-democracy-corps-wvwv,gqr-d-democracy-corps-women-s-voices-women-vote,high-point-university,monmouth-university,nbc-wsj-marist,nyt-upshot-siena,quinnipiac,suffolk,surveyusa-high-point-university,the-meredith-college-poll,ppp-d&hiddensubpops=&partisanship=S,P,N&parties=D,R,I,N&selected=clinton,trump&fudge=1

9/27-9/30: Clinton +6
9/12-9/16: Trump +1
4/10-4/15: Clinton +6 (registered voters)
2/15-2/19: Clinton +6