Maybe one should point out, that NOT the the CDU-members will elect the new chairman. The chairman will be elected by 1001 delegates which are sent to the party convention in Hamburg next weekend from the 15 different CDU state-parties. Each state can sent a certain amount of delegates which depends on the number of CDU-members in the state and the last election result of the CDU in the state. Mostly MPs and state-legislators of the CDU are chosen as delegates. Some state-parties give a recommendation to vote for a certain candidate, but many state-parties do not give any advice. All delegates are allowed to vote their conscience. Therefore polls of the general popoulation or the CDU-members do not really give any prediction about who is going to win in the end, even though some delegates might take the general mood in the party into consideration when they make their decision.
Afaik polls among those 1001 delegates are planned and might be released this week.
Yeah, you're right. I forgot it were the delegates
. My question still stands I suppose.