What would the 1992 Presidential Election map look like without Ross Perot? (user search)
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  What would the 1992 Presidential Election map look like without Ross Perot? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What would the 1992 Presidential Election map look like without Ross Perot?  (Read 2574 times)
twenty42
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Posts: 861
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« on: September 26, 2017, 09:47:43 AM »

It would be the exact same map with slightly different margins.

Going by exit polls, 38% of Perot voters said they would've voted Clinton, 38% said they would've voted Bush, and 24% said they wouldn't have voted at all. If you to interpolate those numbers into the national results, it results in 52.93% Clinton - 47.07% Bush. This is a 5.86% win for Clinton, a 0.3% D shift from the actual results. Since Bush won NC by 0.79%, the shift wouldn't have changed any states.
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