UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread

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We're T-minus 24 hours from the exit poll. Figured now would be the time to start this.

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The initial BBC projections haven't always been right on, but their track record is pretty good overall:

2017 - projected Tories short by 12 (actually short by 8 )
2015 - projected Tories short by 10 (actually a majority of 12)
2010 - projected Tories short by 19 (correct)
2005 - projected a Labour majority of 66 (correct)
2001 - projected a Labour majority of c.160 (actually a majority of 167)
1997 - projected a Labour majority of c.175 (actually a majority of 179)
1992 - projected Tories short by 25 (actually a majority of 21)
1987 - projected a Tory majority of 26 (actually a majority of 102)
1983 - projected a Tory majority of 146 (actually a majority of 144)

(They didn't provide an exact figure in 1997 & 2001, giving just a rough estimate.)

They were rather off in 1987 & 1992, but otherwise were pretty close on all the rest (though you can debate if their 2015 exit poll was 'close' or not, I suppose).

At which hour can we expect this?

10pm GMT.

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Now we get the best part of the election process: Dogs at Polling Stations!

Actually, that's the second best part



https://twitter.com/BirminghamCats/status/1205085587600027648

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Why is Ipsos releasing a poll today? Isn't that illegal? And it actually showed the Tory lead declining, so not sure why I would take that as good news for them lol. Just another herding pollster.

You can release a poll if it was conducted before election day itself. It also showed a pretty substantial Tory lead, so a cursory reading would point to good news for the Tories.

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I voted first thing this morning in Esher & Walton. My impression over the next two hours was that in the deep blue Tory party of E&W that I live in there were a genuinely surprising number of Con>LD switchers. Even the Tory teller at the polling station could only muster a halfhearted sense of determination.

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I voted first thing this morning in Esher & Walton. My impression over the next two hours was that in the deep blue Tory party of E&W that I live in there were a genuinely surprising number of Con>LD switchers. Even the Tory teller at the polling station could only muster a halfhearted sense of determination.

The million quid question... do you think they've done it?

I predicted as much in the other thread. I stand by it. Hard to disentangle my own emotions from it, though.

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Boris Johnson didn't vote for himself...because he voted in at his Downing Street address.

And at this rate, that might matter!

https://twitter.com/ljayes/status/1205205524352045056

The dream is alive, boys

Don't trust rumors unless you can actually see the votes. For all we know, this could be expectation setting, Gevelt, or just wanting to pad the margin. Other threads on this forum are littered with the messages of poster who were fooled by GOP insiders and their rumors.

Hear, hear! I'd also note that this 'source' is a Sky News Australia  - yes, *Australia* - presenter.

I wouldn't put it past the Tories to have fed her a line to spread rumours just now so they could circumvent UK election disclosure laws. In any case, ignore it all.