These polls and that map are all useless, I hope you know that. It doesn't matter who's ahead now, no matter who it says is ahead. Wait until after the nominees are chosen, then you can start going crazy about polls. We should all focus on the nomination polls, not the GE ones.
Ok, these maps are definitely uninformative as to the final result: the nominees haven't been chosen, they're from different sources, they use different samples, etc. But they're hardly useless.
Even taking this composite with a grain of salt a few conclusions can be reasonably drawn:
1. The Democrats have a tremendous advantage at this point. They are expanding at the Republicans' expense in all corners of the country while Repubicans have failed to make any inroads into Democratic strongholds, CT notwithstanding.
2. Guiliani's moderate stances aren't swaying the masses. Guiliani, on paper at least, should be gutting the Democratic faithful on the issues. With so much crossover appeal, especially in places like California and Florida, a moderate Republican should be at least tied with a Democrat like Hilary Clinton. But he's not. He's made barely a dent in the Northeast, nothing on the west coast, and only just slipped past the post in the midwest.
3. Clinton's target audience is listening. I haven't seen WV flip Democrat in the map since 2000. Clinton's whole strategy in the primaries is to get chummy with the lower income, salt-of-the-earth, populist types in the Democratic Party. From this map it looks like she's done that and managed to snatch some Republican voters too.
