FL-Mason Dixon: Clinton 45 Trump 42 // Biden 50 Trump 40

[StatesPoll]

http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/06/clinton-leads-trump-by-3-in-new-florida-poll-102462
http://www.politico.com/states/f/?id=00000155-1587-dc57-a3ff-9f8fa7160000

Problems of This Poll

1) overweighted Democrats a bit & underweighted Inependent
DEM 41% REP 37% Ind 22%
But Party Affiliation in April,2016

2) Florida Party Affiliation (April 30, 2016)
http://dos.myflorida.com/elections/data-statistics/voter-registration-statistics/voter-registration-monthly-reports/voter-registration-current-by-county/

Total: 12.21 Million
Rep: 4.37 Mil ( 35.8%) | Dem: 4.63 Mil ( 37.9%) | Ind: 2.86 Mil (23.4%)

3) TRUMP beat Hillary of Independent at this time (TRUMP 40% | Hillary 34% )

4) They included Johnson, But not included Jill Stein
If Jill Stein was in the Poll, Hillary's numbers, It was supposed to be at least minus 2%

So actually TRUMP is winning Florida Now.

[StatesPoll]

Great news! If Clinton is leading in a Mason Dixon Poll (the pollster of "lolol Romney's gonna win let's stop polling here"), then she's in great shape!

wrrrrrrrong.

Last Florida Poll by Mason-Dixon was in July 2012.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html#polls
Obama was ahead with +1% margin(which was same as final results of Florida)
Mason-Dixon*   7/9 - 7/11   800 LV   3.5   46   45   Obama +1

And as I said above, This time Mason-Dixon Poll
1) Overweighted Democrats, Underweighted Independent voters
2) They included Johnson, but not Jill Stein(which can make minus of Hillary's numbers at least -2%)