If it were still July, I might say Lean D, but at this point, I'm going to say Likely D, since Trump hasn't led in a single recent poll, and he often trails by a decent margin in the polls. Hillary wins 51-45.
wrong.
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3114006-UPI-CVoter-2016-State-poll-0925.htmlPA: Sep. 12-25 UPI/CVOTER 605 LV TRUMP 48% | Hillary 47%. TRUMP +1%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/pennsylvania/#nowPA: Sep. 21-26 Google Consumer 734 LV TRUMP 36% | Hillary 35%. TRUMP +1%
PA: Sep. 14-20 Google Consumer 772 LV TRUMP 36% | Hillary 35%. TRUMP +1%
PA: Sep. 16-22 Ipsos 387 LV TRUMP 46% | Hillary 46%. TRUMP +1% (demicals)