Selzer/DMR/Bloomberg FINAL IOWA POLL: Trump +5, Clinton +3

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5% Unsure, 4% Uncommitted, 3 % O Malley - That is 12% up for grabs.

Plus this only considers registered voters. There will be a pretty decent number of registrations on caucus day among which demographic Sanders has a good lead. O'Malley's supporters prefer Bernie 2-1.

So I think this could be anywhere between a Clinton, 5-6% point victory, to Sanders 5-6% victory, with likely result as a neck & neck.

With such huge (12%) open voters & new registrations coming in for Bernie, this is TOO close to call

[Shadows]

I think we just witnessed the death of the Sanders campaign. jfern actually turning a poll that shows a 3 point lead for Clinton into a 4 point win for Sanders. :whew:
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If Clinton is leading +3 vs Sanders among the REGISTERED voters with a 12% Undecided votebank (including O Malley whose supporters prefer Sanders 2-1), this does not look VERY GOOD for Clinton.

This does not capture the new voters who will register & Sanders camp have clearly said they don't want new voters to double work & register early & are focused on bringing them on the day as Reg can be done anytime.

+3 among registered guys ONLY with 12% undecided is in noways a MAJOR positive for Clinton