MT-SEN 2018: #Populism wins, #ShrillNeoliberalism loses (user search)
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  MT-SEN 2018: #Populism wins, #ShrillNeoliberalism loses (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT-SEN 2018: #Populism wins, #ShrillNeoliberalism loses  (Read 37041 times)
Shadows
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« on: November 07, 2018, 03:22:30 AM »

Tester should win by 4-5% easily. Should be his biggest margin in a Senate race. Most of the votes from Missoula are left !

Too bad about Gianforte winning again !
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Shadows
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2018, 04:19:51 AM »

Rosendale is 9000 ahead with 70% of Missoula left. Tester can pick up 10-12-14K votes there but this will go down to the wire. Probably another 0.2 or 0.5% margin. This looks bad !
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Shadows
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2018, 06:08:39 AM »

On Decision Desk, 96.26% reporting.
Matt Rosendale   193,479   48.90%   
Jon Tester (inc)   190,809   48.22%

Park County (all), Yellowstone (3 precincts), Gallatin (1 precinct), Cascade (2 precincts) withstanding

Yea, Weird. Decision Desk & NYT are not matching at all.

NYT is @ 82% reporting & Rosendale ahead by 2200 votes with only 23 out of 52 precincts reporting in Missoula. And Tester up 19.8/10.3 (ahead by 7.7K votes with 45% of Missoula in).

DD has Missoula @ 100% with same vote tallies ( 19.8/10.3). So one of them is obviously wrong.

If NYT is right, then Tester can make up 7-8K votes easily in Missoula & is 2K odd down. So who knows who is right.

Sinema has lost by 12K Votes. Nelson by 39K. So all close race seem to go GOP way !
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Shadows
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Posts: 4,956
« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2018, 06:14:24 AM »

Rosendale only up by ~1,100 according to CNN.

Assuming CNN's results are accurate (big assumption), all of the remaining vote is in the Tester counties of Missoula, Cascade, Gallatin, and Park, so he should narrowly squeak by. I'd feel more confident about saying that if CNN's site wasn't glitches galore this whole night.

CNN is showing 200.7/199.2 (Rosendale ahead by 1.5K) with 73% of Missoula in (19.8/10.3 -7.5K Tester). If only Missoula is left, Tester may sneak through but there are 3 different numbers about pending Missoula votes.

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