NH-CNN/UNH: Sanders 21, Warren 18, Biden 15, Buttigieg 10

[Shadows]

This is obviously bad for Biden but disastrous for Harris. She is in the 8/9th position behind Gabbard & Yang. How low can you fall? Booker & O'Rourke are not even in the Top 9? Are these guys going to qualify for the December debate @ this rate? Poor Beto !

Brilliant poll for Sanders. Him leading Warren is a good thing but Yang/Gabbard @ 10% combined is hurting him bigtime. These are like 80-90% of 2016 Sanders supporters & around 50-60-70% have their 2nd choice as Sanders.

In Iowa, if Yang/Gabbard get below 15%, they will go majorly to Sanders mainly in next round, but in NH they may end up costing this race. In a 3-4 way race, 30-35% should be a winning margin considering from December, these bottom tier people won't make the debates. Since, no-one is near 30%, this race is very much open. But what is visible is a clear Biden slide, Sanders uptick, Gabbard/Yang shooting up.

[Shadows]

The poll has Undecideds @ 10%. If they go in the same rate as the other 90%, following will be the results -

Sanders 23.3%
Warren 20%
Biden 16.7%
Pete 11.1%
Yang 5.6%
Gabbard 5.6%
Klobuchar 5.6%
Harris 3.3%
Steyer 3.3%

2nd Choice - Warren 22% Bernie 17% Biden 12% Pete 10%

Will note Vote - Warren 11% Biden 11% Williamson 9% Bernie 7% Gabbard 5%


Favorability -

Bernie +43%
Pete +40%
Warren +38%
Biden +25%
Harris +19%

Definitely Decided/Leaning/Still trying to decide - 23/21/57

This is a very VERY fluid field. More than half are not 100% decided & they may change.

Sanders is the best candidate of Climate Change, Healthcare & Most Progressive.
Warren is the best candidate on the economy.
Biden is the best candidate in the GE (By a huge margin).

Biden's whole numbers are based on electability. If & when he flounders in Iowa & NH, he will come crashing. His unfavorables (30%) are very high & he is @ 12% in 2nd choice votes now.

[Shadows]

Why are questions about him dropping out coming from? He had a 20% lead, then 10% & now he may lose all 3 of Iowa, NH & Nevada which will affect his numbers bigtime in SC. His fundraising is also terrible which will affect his ability to compete in Super Tuesday.

He can still win & is likely the front-runner but @ this rate, there is a good chance he may end up losing. This is a Very Bad poll for him. That doesn't mean he should drop out. Harris is @ 3% BTW & no one is asking her to drop out !