Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer (user search)
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  Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer (search mode)
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer  (Read 91064 times)
Dr. Arch
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« Reply #100 on: April 02, 2019, 03:41:16 PM »
Quote from: Duke of York on April 02, 2019, 03:40:18 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 02, 2019, 03:33:59 PM
Saw a tweet of a voter at Madison Ward 53 that said she was voter 837, which would put them at 68.7% of total 2018 turnout for that ward was last year with 4.5 hours left.

Is that good or bad for Nuebauer?

Obviously good
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #101 on: April 02, 2019, 05:24:09 PM »
Quote from: Scottholes 2.0 on April 02, 2019, 05:16:02 PM
Turnout in Madison has already surpassed the April 2018 SCOTUS race! Wow!



Don't forget that, every year, Madison takes up a larger portion of the total electorate as well.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #102 on: April 02, 2019, 08:24:56 PM »
Quote from: Politician on April 02, 2019, 08:23:19 PM
Does WI ave a democratic counting bias?

No. Usually it's the the other way around. WOW reports first.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #103 on: April 02, 2019, 08:27:00 PM »
Quote from: Duke of York on April 02, 2019, 08:26:32 PM
Quote from: Scottholes 2.0 on April 02, 2019, 08:25:30 PM
Her lead is going to explode once those Dane County numbers start rolling!

I hope so because right now this looks like a loss.

Huh
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #104 on: April 02, 2019, 08:30:17 PM »
Quote from: Linus Van Pelt on April 02, 2019, 08:27:34 PM
Soglin is looking like he's in trouble - only a few Madison wards reporting but he is losing some suburban areas narrowly, and getting hammered in the central wards.

Yep, 66% in and he's in the 30s. He's done. Thank goodness.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #105 on: April 02, 2019, 08:32:33 PM »
Most of WOW is in now. It's not enough to keep him up from the looks of it.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #106 on: April 02, 2019, 08:34:25 PM »
On Dane county's site, Neubauer is at 81%. That's perfect shape for a comfortable win.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #107 on: April 02, 2019, 08:40:08 PM »

Told you
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #108 on: April 02, 2019, 08:45:43 PM »
30% of Dane still out too.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #109 on: April 02, 2019, 08:54:24 PM »
Panicking is Atlas' number 1 skill.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #110 on: April 02, 2019, 08:58:45 PM »
Quote from: Scottholes 2.0 on April 02, 2019, 08:56:08 PM
Quote from: Arch on April 02, 2019, 08:54:24 PM
Panicking is Atlas' number 1 skill.

Well, to be fair the race is very close! We don't know if she's favored yet. I hope you're right.

A losing left candidate gets < 75 in Dane. We should be fine.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #111 on: April 02, 2019, 09:02:06 PM »
Quote from: TX more competitive than OH on April 02, 2019, 09:00:49 PM
Quote from: Arch on April 02, 2019, 08:58:45 PM
Quote from: Scottholes 2.0 on April 02, 2019, 08:56:08 PM
Quote from: Arch on April 02, 2019, 08:54:24 PM
Panicking is Atlas' number 1 skill.

Well, to be fair the race is very close! We don't know if she's favored yet. I hope you're right.

A losing left candidate gets < 75 in Dane. We should be fine.

Well that would be good and dandy if Milwaukee was pulling its weight. It decidedly isn't.

We'll see.
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