Will the superdelegates start coming in faster? (user search)
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  Will the superdelegates start coming in faster? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Will the superdelegates start coming in faster?  (Read 886 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« on: May 20, 2008, 11:52:36 PM »

Now that Obama has clinched the majority of pledged delegates under the current rules, will we start seeing more superdelegates announce faster than in previous weeks?
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2008, 12:29:36 AM »

Let's do some math:  After Oregon is all counted, Obama should be about 60 delegates away from 2,026, which is what the current rules state.  If he were to get a minimum of 3 superdelegates between today (Wednesday) and Sunday, June 1, that would be roughly 20-25 delegates, not including Saturday and Sunday and Memorial Day.  Let's give him 20.  That puts him 40 away.  Then, give him 15 of Puerto Rico's 50-some delegates.  That takes him down to 25 delegates.  Then, give him another 4-5 supers on Monday, June 2 and bring him to 20.  Give him 20 of the 31 delegates in Montana and South Dakota for the final contests and he's got the nomination.

So, it is entirely possible, under the current rules, that Obama clinches the nomination on June 3.  An outside possibility he could clinch it before May ends, though thats very doubtful.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2008, 09:28:13 AM »


Shortly after Clinton drops out is my guess.
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