What would your 2006 U.S. Senate strategy be?

[A18]

What candidates would you run, and what would you focus their campaigns on?

I'll post mine when I'm doing with dinner.

[A18]

Virginia
If Mark Warner runs, he's a tax hiking liberal. Tie him to the national Democrats and watch him sink.

Hawaii
Incumbent likely to retire. Run the Republican governor, if she isn't running for reelection; I'm not aware of any other good candidates.

West Virginia
If Byrd dies/retires, focus on guns and gay marriage, and maybe send Bush in there for some campaigning.

Rhode Island
Incumbency factor

New York
If Giuliani does not run, sit back, relax, and enjoy losing. If he does: Hillary = carpetbagger.

New Jersey
Incumbent may win gubernatorial election. A Dem would be appointed to fill the vacancy. That person would only be in office for a short period of time, so we don't have to worry about an incumbent. Just get a strong candidate.

Minnesota
Tim Pawlenty would be good, but he'll probably run for reelection. Anyway, run on the incumbent's lackluster Senate record, and maybe that closing Capitol Hill office thing.

California
If Feinstein runs against Arnold, we have no incumbent. Dems are still favored, of course. Run, I dunno, McClintock (sp?) maybe?

Tennessee
Tie opposition to national Democrats

Vermont
Hope the Dems run an opponent to split the vote; run a Republican governor or something

Mississippi
Lott may or may not serve another term. If he doesn't, attack the national Democrats.

Nebraska
This Nelson guy is good, so maybe get him to switch parties. Otherwise, just run a strong candidate, I guess. He's not very vulnerable except for being a Dem in a very Republican state.

Florida
The bad Nelson. Hope Jeb runs; he probably won't, in that case, I don't know who the best candidate would be.

Washington
One word: Rossi

[A18]

Why do you think it's unlikely Giuliani will run?

[A18]

He's given no indication it's even on his radar. I really hope he does, but at this point I think he wants to run for President in '08.

Major to president is pretty big jump. If he wants to run in '08, that's all the more reason to run for governor or senator.

[A18]

WTF? Show me where one Republican on this message board said Dayton is dead in the water.

[A18]

The Republicans control Congress. None of that stuff would get to his desk, and he's not stupid enough to alienate the party.

I guess there is the issue of judges, but I dunno.

[A18]

Poor Guilani - He's too socially liberal for the national Republicans, and NY is too Democratic for him to win.  He'd make it an interesting race before losing, though.

So why are there polls out showing he'd beat Hillary by five points?