Targeting 75 House seats? (user search)
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  Targeting 75 House seats? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Targeting 75 House seats?  (Read 8413 times)
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

« on: August 14, 2005, 11:11:04 PM »

The 1994 election was only a blowout because the solid south finally realigned at the congressional level.
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A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

« Reply #1 on: August 15, 2005, 03:02:55 PM »

The GOP didn't take out 50+ Dems in '94. They got 30-something (34?) in a once-in-a-generation, maybe not even that likely, event.

I don't know about incumbents, but this indicates a net pickup of 54 (108 swing).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._House_election,_1994
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A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

« Reply #2 on: August 15, 2005, 03:35:35 PM »

The GOP didn't take out 50+ Dems in '94. They got 30-something (34?) in a once-in-a-generation, maybe not even that likely, event.

I don't know about incumbents, but this indicates a net pickup of 54 (108 swing).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._House_election,_1994

True, though most of the victories were localized. Most of the switches occurred in the South or in Washington State, where I think there was something like a 7-seat switch, which went back to being evenly split later.

I count only ~29 pickups in the South (using the most broad definition).
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A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

« Reply #3 on: August 15, 2005, 03:44:27 PM »

Where were the 25 non-southern pickups?
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A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2005, 04:36:06 PM »

The 1980 Senate takeover was not gradual.
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