ARG: Sununu one of the most vul senators down 10 pts

[TheresNoMoney]

Those are horrible numbers for Sununu. 32% for an incumbent?

I don't think Shaheen will run, but I think there are at least a few other Democrats than can beat Sununu.

[TheresNoMoney]

The percentage of Republicans in NH have decreased greatly, Democrats have increased slightly, and independents have gone way up.

The reason the Democrats are doing so well in NH now is that moderates vote overwhelmingly for them. Republicans have completely lost the center.

Shaheen almost definitely won't run. The challenge for the eventual Democratic nominee will be increasing his name recogntion.

[TheresNoMoney]

We have to find a top-tier challenger soon - Sununu is going to rasie a ton of money for this race, mostly from the CFG and their scumbag friends.

In New Hampshire, there is no real bench for either party.  We don't have elected offices like AG or Lt Governor, and we just elected Democrats to Congress this past election (neither of whom will run). Marchand could end up being the candidate against Sununu.

Whoever runs against Sununu will have money. The DSCC will pump a lot of money into this race and the Democrat will receive lots of national money from this being a top pickup opportunity.

And you also need to remember that this is a small state and you don't need $15 million to win a Senate race......$5-8 million will work just fine.

[TheresNoMoney]

I definitely think low 20's is realistic for Bush's approval here in NH.