Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)

[john cage bubblegum]

Hillary with narrow leads in Bernalillo county (which she lost by 3 in '08) and in Santa Fe County (which she lost by 17 in '08).

[john cage bubblegum]

Sanders seems to be doing better than Obama in Eastern SD, so you'd think that when Western SD comes in, the margin will narrow, and SD will be quite close.  I don't think Bernie will totally catch her, but we'll see.

[john cage bubblegum]

If Clinton really only does win NM by 6-7 points (which is possible, due to Sanders winning some counties), that might spell trouble for her in CA.

Does it though?  She only won NM by 1 point in '08.

[john cage bubblegum]

It's early in MT, but so far Clinton is significantly outperforming her 2008 margins in Gallatin and Ravalli Counties.  At the very least, if Bernie wins it should be much closer than Obama's 2008 win.

[john cage bubblegum]

Looking at counties that have a significant amount of precincts reporting in CA, not just early vote, Hillary is doing very well as compared to her '08 margins.  I don't she how she loses, and it's very likely it'll be much more than the 2 point margin we saw in 37 polls (although that's not totally fair, as declaring Clinton the nominee yesterday could very well have affected things).

[john cage bubblegum]

Looks like we got a dump of precincts in Missoula.  Only a 60-37 margin is not what Sanders was hoping for there.  This thing could be very close, and Clinton is very much in play.  I was expecting a very close race in SD with a Clinton tilt; but I was not expecting this result in Montana.

[john cage bubblegum]

With 1/3 of the vote out in Missoula, you'd think the networks would be able to call Montana.