Virginia is probably the best bellweather for the nation as a whole - NBC +9 and Fox +7 probably has this race as a high single digit Hillary lead. With these numbers I'd like to see Georgia - could def be in play now.
If Hillary has an OH/PA problem, then Trump has a VA/NC problem, states with high minority and college-educated turnout. Trump can say bye-bye to VA, and without NC, he almost certainly cannot win. I hope we get a lot of polling this cycle out of NC, since I think it will be one of the closest states.
Florida is a polling mystery, which I guess shouldn't surprise us. And while I think Clinton will ultimately win it, I guess we have to just consider it a toss-up for now.
