2018 Gubernatorial Rankings

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Safe R- AR, ID, MA, TN, TX, SD*, WY
Likely R- AL, MD, NE, OK, SC
Leans R- AZ, GA, KS, IA
Tilts R- IL, NH, OH, VA, VT
Pure Tossup- CO, FL, MN, NV, RI, WI
Tilts D- CT, MI
Leans D- ME, NJ, NM, PA
Likely D- AK***, CA, NY
Safe D
OR
*Providing Noem is the nominee, which seems likely at this point.
**As long as Malloy doesn't run. If he does, Pure Tossup. But my guess is he won't, cause most governors do retire after 2 terms even if not written in stone.
***I am counting AK as democratic.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Safe R- AR, ID, MA, TN, TX, SD*, WY
Likely R- AL, MD, NE, OK, SC
Leans R- AZ, GA, KS, IA
Tilts R- IL, NH, OH, VA, VT
Pure Tossup- CO, FL, MN, NV, RI, WI
Tilts D- CT, MI
Leans D- ME, NJ, NM, PA
Likely D- AK***, CA, NY
Safe D
OR
*Providing Noem is the nominee, which seems likely at this point.
**As long as Malloy doesn't run. If he does, Pure Tossup. But my guess is he won't, cause most governors do retire after 2 terms even if not written in stone.
***I am counting AK as democratic.

Curious why you have IL as Tilt R

I probably should put it as toss up because he is in trouble, but he is an incumbent and beating incumbents is not easy. And democrats need to have a fresh face, because midterm Illinois voters do not like establishment dems like Madigan.