Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Nebraska 1st CD (user search)
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  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Nebraska 1st CD (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Rate NE-01 and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 83

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Nebraska 1st CD  (Read 1134 times)
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,284
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« on: September 03, 2016, 10:15:13 AM »
Safe R

Trump: 55%
Clinton: 40%
Logged
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,284
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2016, 11:59:05 AM »
Why are there so many votes for Likely R? Clinton would need to win by about 20 points nationally to flip this district.
Logged
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,284
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2016, 12:24:19 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 04, 2016, 12:15:27 PM
Quote from: Chrome on September 04, 2016, 11:59:05 AM
Why are there so many votes for Likely R? Clinton would need to win by about 20 points nationally to flip this district.

I'm not sure it would take a 20-point win, but some have differing ideas about what "safe" means. I highly doubt Trump had any kind of chance in Michigan or Minnesota, but I rated them Likely D out of caution.

I agree that it depends on what "safe" means, but it seems strange that people still voted Minnesota as Safe D despite it being more competitive than NE-01 in past elections, even if Trump is a bad fit for the state.
Logged
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,284
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2016, 04:20:39 PM »
Colorado is now rated as Likely D instead of Lean D.
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