Louisiana Nov 16, 2019 Run-Off Election Results thread (user search)
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  Louisiana Nov 16, 2019 Run-Off Election Results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Louisiana Nov 16, 2019 Run-Off Election Results thread  (Read 44787 times)
Devout Centrist
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Posts: 10,147
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Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« on: November 16, 2019, 10:42:20 PM »

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius
And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here
I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.
Noted
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Devout Centrist
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*****
Posts: 10,147
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2019, 10:47:37 PM »

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius
And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here
I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.
Arrogance like that won’t make you a lot of friends here
I don't care . I'm a successful 33 year old Male.  I don't care what Democrat hacks on the internet think of me.
You're like, 16. Unless you show me a picture of your yacht, I don't believe you
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Devout Centrist
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*****
Posts: 10,147
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #2 on: November 16, 2019, 10:51:04 PM »

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius
And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here
I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

The 2019 governor elections are an absolute disaster for Trump and the Republicans. That's not really an arguable point.

So how will President Fartbag and his spin machine spin this one?

"RETARD RISPONE was down by 80 points before my rally last night! I came in and did what I could, but he was just too far behind. Should've asked for my help sooner!!"
"Good Saturday Evening! I just treated myself to a delicious dinner from McDonalds. Too bad Eddie Rispone lost, I did my best to save his dying campaign. Oh well. Anyway, I just finished my second Big Mac. I will be briefly relaxing until 0300 and then hit Twitter before getting some Z's. Tomorrow is work day number 1284!"
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Devout Centrist
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*****
Posts: 10,147
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #3 on: November 16, 2019, 10:53:44 PM »

If JBE wins, there's no doubt: the suburbs and urban areas are all that's responsible. Most of rural LA has swung 25-40 points to Rispone compared to 2015, despite JBE being a popular pro-life Democrat who gave hundreds of thousands of poor white trash healthcare and balanced the budget. Really no reason left to pander anymore...

What makes you think being pro-gun and pro-life only matters to rural voters? It's a big part of why JBE is winning in the suburbs tonight

The difference in the suburbs between 2015 and tonight is built off of a large cohort of GOP-DEM converts who didn't vote for JBE 4 years ago and who don't really care about all of that to the same extent; they're mostly post-Trump former GOP exiles. More than anything, these types are "anti-gun" in the way you look at them.

Let's also not forget that black voters are likely responsible for a hefty portion of this, considering JBE is only outperforming his 2015 margins in a handful of suburban areas (Jefferson - & Tammany by a hair).

Then why did they vote for Republicans in every other race tonight?

Because nobody knows any of those other downballot losers and no-names.

Ok, but you were literally just saying suburban voters voted for JBE because they're exiles from the GOP who have lost their connection to it.
Didn't Southern D's vote R for years at the Federal level before changing their downballot votes?
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Devout Centrist
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*****
Posts: 10,147
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #4 on: November 16, 2019, 10:59:39 PM »

Glad to see pro-life Dems aren't completely dead yet. Smiley
Looks like JBE will be carried to term
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Devout Centrist
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*****
Posts: 10,147
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #5 on: November 16, 2019, 11:54:32 PM »

Yeah. Dems doing badly in the suburbs is really bad for us if it keeps up, and there's no denying that. That's why we need Nikki Haley on the ballot in 2024.
Just because the GOP nominee is a female who so happens to not be White American doesn't mean suburban voters are suddenly going to flock back.


Sure, but she also has the kind of tempermant, demeanor, and common sense conservative policies that have won us the suburbs before. Plus, one of the big reasons for the suburban trend left is that the GOP is perceived as intolerant of non-white voters (a problem as the suburbs become more diverse). She can help fix that perception.
How does she get nominated?
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,147
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #6 on: November 17, 2019, 12:33:44 AM »

Yeah. Dems doing badly in the suburbs is really bad for us if it keeps up, and there's no denying that. That's why we need Nikki Haley on the ballot in 2024.
Just because the GOP nominee is a female who so happens to not be White American doesn't mean suburban voters are suddenly going to flock back.


Sure, but she also has the kind of tempermant, demeanor, and common sense conservative policies that have won us the suburbs before. Plus, one of the big reasons for the suburban trend left is that the GOP is perceived as intolerant of non-white voters (a problem as the suburbs become more diverse). She can help fix that perception.
How does she get nominated?

By being popular with both the Trumpist
There are people who are more popular with them than her and more authentic than her.

Quote
and Non-Trumpist wings of the party, like she is now?
And I'm sure they'll love her hard pivot to 'trumpism'?

Here's what's gonna happen: Haley will run, piss off the 'non-trumpists' by tilting hard to the right, get attacked by the true believers for not standing by Trump 100% of the time, and get 3% of the vote in the primary.
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