CO: Magellan Strategies: Clinton up 5 in Colorado

[Erich Maria Remarque]

So, it looks like Colorado will be about D+2?  If you assume that we have a 2012-like race and that between this R poll and non-partisan poll, Colorado is like 11+5+2/3 = 6.3...and then when you factor in that Democrats over perform by about 1.5% there, you get about a +7 or +8. It makes since. Voter party id is now +.5%D instead of +.5%R in 12 or +1R% or 08. I'm guessing it would have been R+1 with a Non-Trump running and about D+2 or 3 with a non-Hillary running and about this if both candidates were reasonable fits.

This is an advanced unskewing technology!

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Hmmm... Magellan is a Republican pollster and I believe this is client work?  I'm surprised they would release this.  Are they trying to tell Trump to stop wasting money in CO?

You have to stop to pretend that R-establishment wants Trump to win. I mean... Really!

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Trump competitive in CO

When the closest poll in the last couple months has Trump down 5, this is a different definition of "competitive" then I'm used to.  The RCP average has him down 9.7.  http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/co/colorado_trump_vs_clinton-5751.html#polls

So it's like D+3.5 or something now according to RCP.

Yeah, right. Because almost every poll is from the period when Clinton was up 8-10 nationally. Common, guys, you can't be serious

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Yeah, right. Because almost every poll is from the period when Clinton was up 8-10 nationally. Common, guys, you can't be serious

Nate Silver agrees
Election Update: The Swing States Are Tightening, Too

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