I really doubt it (to any kind of significant degree). It won't be *good* for them, but the notion that swing voters in Nevada or wherever are going to be heavily influenced by a special election a year prior to me stinks of a "too-cute-by-half Beltway contrarian theory" that unfortunately even Nate Silver seems to have bought into. Even if Moore makes a bunch of stupid comments over the next year, is there any evidence that politicians doing this negatively effects their party? Did thousands of non-MN voters flip to Dems when say, Michele Bachmann said something dumb? Did Roland Burris' probable corruption cause significant Democratic losses in states other than IL?
I think it's a lot more plausible that a Jones win gives the Democrats a lot of enthusiasm (and probably most critically, an actual Senate seat).
Yeah, I originally voted and argued for “yes”, but the speed with which Moore has bounced back makes me think it won’t make much difference in the long run. This is the world we live in now.
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