Arbitrage1980
Jr. Member
Posts: 770
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« on: August 27, 2016, 12:22:19 PM » |
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538.com forecast currently gives Hillary a 34.5% chance of winning Missouri. It's lean R but definitely not a safe state for Trump. If Hillary wins the popular vote by say 8+ points, she definitely wins GA and AZ and most likely MO.
Even Obama 2008 lost MO (granted by just 0.13%). MO is culturally pretty conservative with the exception of STL and Kansas City. And Hillary just doesn't resonate in that state, unlike her husband.
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