absentee/early vote thread, part 2 (user search)
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  absentee/early vote thread, part 2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: absentee/early vote thread, part 2  (Read 115387 times)
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #50 on: November 04, 2016, 01:20:03 PM »
ofc there could be a some reg break in NV but....

there is nearly not trump GOTV and a super-effort of LATINO unions....any questions?
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #51 on: November 04, 2016, 01:26:17 PM »
Quote from: 2016election on November 04, 2016, 01:24:57 PM
Is there any recent polling data or EV data out of New Mexico? I haven't seen a poll from there for 3 weeks atleast.

no there are not, any the last polls have been confused by johnson-mentum.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #52 on: November 04, 2016, 01:38:35 PM »
@2016...sorry, don't know, asked the same for days. Wink


Hispanic EIP voting in Florida is off the charts...429k have voted in person, up 152% at this time in 2012
https://twitter.com/electionsmith/status/794560117391753216
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #53 on: November 04, 2016, 01:46:01 PM »
Quote from: Jante's Law Revivalist on November 04, 2016, 01:43:36 PM
At last! Cheesy

How many more votes can we expect to add to that margin by Saturday? And how would that compare to 2012?

bad, since in 2012 dems overtook republicans after the first real weekend but with MUUUCH more registered dems and many fewer sent absentee ballots.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #54 on: November 04, 2016, 01:48:19 PM »

you are correct.

guess the us-tautologies like "liberal democrat" or "conservative republican" have gone to my brain.

meant BIG cities anyway.....milwaukee and madison are rising.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #55 on: November 04, 2016, 02:34:57 PM »

my first thought!
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #56 on: November 04, 2016, 02:46:31 PM »
Quote from: Happy Sad Trumpista on November 04, 2016, 02:44:34 PM
Eh... It does not sound plausible at all. Or? I though that she was underperforming among them nationally. If so (not 100% sure), I doubt she'll do better in NV.
#

nah, she is not underperforming.

she is not driving them out.

regarding the split, trump is kryptonie for millenials.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #57 on: November 04, 2016, 02:58:44 PM »
there is EV in MI?

they talk about absentee, right?
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #58 on: November 04, 2016, 03:14:14 PM »
SUPER NOVA!
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #59 on: November 04, 2016, 03:28:53 PM »
northern virginia = DC-subs and well-paid educated voters.....becoming more and more each year...

if NOVA turnout is high = game over in VA.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #60 on: November 04, 2016, 03:48:13 PM »
we don't know shoot about NC/FL cause both states are in a "change" periods with dixiecrats changing parties....

maybe REPS are doing great...maybe they are cannibalizing themselves to death.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #61 on: November 04, 2016, 04:07:24 PM »
colorado's liberal marijuana policies were a mistake.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #62 on: November 04, 2016, 04:11:17 PM »
Quote from: matthew27 on November 04, 2016, 04:10:10 PM
I don't think so..Better then throwing millions of people in prison like we currently are....

It is called freedom.

it's a "too stoned to vote early" joke. Wink
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #63 on: November 04, 2016, 04:17:03 PM »
just forget nevada at this point.....
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #64 on: November 04, 2016, 04:23:54 PM »
those people never vote.....

it'a a shame brewer's state is too safe R.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #65 on: November 04, 2016, 04:35:09 PM »
we are on a roll.


Judge: NC counties must restore voters removed from rolls
http://www.usnews.com/news/us/articles/2016-11-04/judge-nc-counties-must-restore-voters-removed-from-rolls
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #66 on: November 04, 2016, 05:10:09 PM »
ralston is nailing NV......everything makes sense if you follow him.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #67 on: November 04, 2016, 05:15:43 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on November 04, 2016, 05:14:48 PM
No, Ralston is right on the money. The fact that Trump has no ground game or appeal to voters who aren't uneducated white men is coming through very clearly in the early NV results.

in fact, lots of people in NV are uneducated white men but seemingly not enough.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #68 on: November 04, 2016, 06:06:26 PM »
5000 more clark votes in just one hour.


https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/794669496162074624?lang=de
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #69 on: November 04, 2016, 06:13:11 PM »
i guess we are going to hear each day now, that CO is safe R.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #70 on: November 04, 2016, 06:17:45 PM »

never, since it's mail-only.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #71 on: November 04, 2016, 07:15:47 PM »

Nearly 38K had voted in Clark by 5 PM. With locations staying open late, they may get to 50K, after all. Then we look at the margin....
https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/with_replies?lang=de
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #72 on: November 04, 2016, 07:40:14 PM »
voting is reeeeeeeeally easy in some states and some states want it to be more difficult.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #73 on: November 04, 2016, 08:01:25 PM »
i think the daily comments of cohn regarding this matter have been VERY confusing.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #74 on: November 04, 2016, 08:12:31 PM »
we are now trapped between dodgy cohn and perma-"EVERYTHINGCOULDHAPPEN!!!!!"-silver.

since NC isn't a monster state, there should be someone local at least half as capable as ralston to make sense of it.
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