2016: Gary Johnson debates

[RC]

Fmr. SoS. Hillary Clinton/Sen. Tim Kaine - 268 Electoral Votes, 45.5%

Busineussman Donald J. Trump/Governor Mike Pence - 264 Electoral Votes, 39.4%

Fmr. CIA Operations Officer D. Evan McMullin/Activist Mindy Finn - 6 Electoral Votes, 5.7%

Fmr. Governor Gary Johnson/Fmr Governor William Weld - 7.4%

Others: 2%

Assuming Johnson has no more gaffes, he snatches up quite a bit of support from Trump, and helps McMullin win Utah, causing the election to be contested. The House of Representatives gives Clinton a majority of votes, with some Republicans giving her and McMullin a few votes instead of Trump. Meanwhile, the Senate chooses Mike Pence.

[RC]

snip

And why does the House choose Clinton over Trump or McMullin?

Even if the GOP loses its House majority, they still probably control a majority of House delegations. IMO, no GOP representative with a view towards his/her political future would vote for Clinton. At least not in an environment like this.

Honestly, I'm not sure what I was thinking when I posted it, probably the fact that some Republicans were still riding the anti-Trump train from the pussy tape. Also that the house would never elect an independent. So if the house would've chosen Clinton, it would be by a very narrow vote.

[RC]

McMullin endorses Johnson, as do Justin Amash, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Condoleeza Rice, Jeb Bush, Tim Penny, Jerry Brown, Bill Walker, Brian Schweitzer, and Steve Bullock.

No, I'd say Amash is the most likely. A distant second would be McMullin, John Kasich and Rand Paul at a very distant third.