Will all 3 South Florida counties swing more than 10% to the right?

[LAKISYLVANIA]

For that to happen, Trump basically needs to win Florida by at least 10% (technically less is possible if other parts of the state swing left, and in particular I do believe the urban counties near Miami will swing sharper right than rest of state).

My bet currently is

Miami-Dade: yes
Palm Beach: maybe, toss-up, i'll lean yes
Broward: no

So to the answer as a whole, no.

For Broward to swing 10% to the right, i think we basically need a low double digits to 15% victory for Trump already.

This basically also assumes that I think Miami Dade goes Republican, which I do think will happen and Palm Beach tilt/lean D/Biden.

The problem with Palm Beach is that for it to flip, you need quite a bit of people that go from D to R, because a drop in turnout isn't enough (and would also affect republicans). You need swingers which i guess there will be but not enough.