PPP: NE-2: trump +3

[LAKISYLVANIA]

If Osborn's only 4 points behind Fischer, it's hard for me to see Trump winning NE-02. And yeah, I know Osborn's an independent, but I still doubt the gap would be that large. Running as an Independent didn't help Al Gross in Alaska, after all.

Every poll basically has the Republican underperforming Trump downballot. Every single poll literally.

Trump supposedly takes all purple states that matter and wins the White House, but the Democrats are on their way to a landslide downballot basically.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Honestly, a terrible poll for Biden. PPP is usually Democratic friendly as far as I recall, so he should at least be ahead here. I've always considered NE-2 at least Lean Democratic since Trump seems toxic in most suburbs, but if he's ahead here, he's strongly favored. Nonetheless, we need to see more polls to validate this.

Why would when the election is close and Trump supposedly in contention of winning the popular vote, NE-2 lean Biden.

That makes no sense to me. Except for that it feels like wishy-washy thinking. Trump won here in 2016.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

If Osborn's only 4 points behind Fischer, it's hard for me to see Trump winning NE-02. And yeah, I know Osborn's an independent, but I still doubt the gap would be that large. Running as an Independent didn't help Al Gross in Alaska, after all.

Every poll basically has the Republican underperforming Trump downballot. Every single poll literally.

Trump supposedly takes all purple states that matter and wins the White House, but the Democrats are on their way to a landslide downballot basically.

Yeah, but it would still be pretty crazy for Osborn to run this far ahead of Biden against a two-term incumbent.

Well independents seem inflated in almost every poll and it has no Democrat in this option so basically all D-leaning but also indies go with who isn't the Republican.

Secondly... 30% undecided... I can see both getting 37 and 33% like, that's not hard. Many people are undecided, because where is the Democrat, who is this Osborn guy etc.