2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[LimoLiberal]

UT-04:Dan Jones and Associates

http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/16872-new-poll-love-mcadams-locked-in-very-tight-race

Love (R) - 47
McAdams (D) - 43

[LimoLiberal]

Some good recent numbers for Democrats. But where are the live caller polls?

[LimoLiberal]

Generic Ballot is starting to widen up for the Dems again.

Same with the Trump approval average.  Both of them (on 538) have returned to their levels from around the beginning of May, after narrowing during the month.

And then Quinnipiac comes to BTFO of this narrative.

[LimoLiberal]

Generic Ballot is starting to widen up for the Dems again.

Same with the Trump approval average.  Both of them (on 538) have returned to their levels from around the beginning of May, after narrowing during the month.

And then Quinnipiac comes to BTFO of this narrative.

They literally show Dems up 7, just like the average shows them up 7.

(I was talking about Quinnipiac showing Trump gaining 4 net points)

[LimoLiberal]

What's interesting is in a lot of these polls is that both Trump AND Democrats are improving.

[LimoLiberal]

What's interesting is in a lot of these polls is that both Trump AND Democrats are improving.

Not really; his approvals are still stuck in the mid-40’s. Marginally, they're better, but he’s still not in the positive range.

Lol what is this spin? His approvals were 37-39 for basically all of late last year. Now an average of three high quality live caller polls has him at 44. That is a significant and substantial improvement, especially considering how narrow the range of his approvals have been thus far. Of course he's not in the positive range, but every point of approval he gains has significant implications for November and you can't dismiss a 6 point gain as "marginal".

[LimoLiberal]

Several NM house polls by Carroll Strategies:

U.S. Congress CD 1:

Democrat Debra Haaland – 47%
Republican Janice Arnold-Jones – 42.7%
Libertarian Lloyd Princeton – 3.6%
Undecided – 6.7%

U.S. Congress CD 2:

Republican Yvette Harrell – 48.5%
Democrat Xochitl Torres Small – 34.7%
Undecided - 16.8%

U.S. Congress CD 3:

Democrat Ben Ray Lujan – 58%
Republcan Jerald Steve McFall – 30%
Libertarian Christopher Mannin – 4.7%
Undecided – 7.2%

Plus:

Governor:

Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham – 50.5%
Republican Steve Pearce – 42.1%
Libertarian Bob Walsh – 3.1%
Undecided – 4.3%

U.S. Senate:

Democrat Martin Heinrich – 49.8%
Republican Mick Rich – 39.3%
Libertarian Lloyd Princeton – 3.6%
Undecided – 6.7%

https://www.kob.com/politics-news/poll-lujan-grisham-leads-pearce-in-race-for-governor/4956518/

The NM-01 number is honestly laughable.

[LimoLiberal]

Qpac went from D+7 to D+6.

[LimoLiberal]

It's a DCCC internal.