2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2 (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 173376 times)
LimoLiberal
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Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« on: April 03, 2018, 09:12:47 AM »

Aftab Pureval (D) in OH-01 raises $660,000 in his race against GOP incumbent Steve Chabot.

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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: April 06, 2018, 07:08:24 AM »

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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: April 06, 2018, 09:46:01 PM »


I doubt any of the Republicans are even close to a quarter of that.

McSally probably doesn't have as much but I'm sure the typical GOP donors are lining her up just fine.

Luckily those big donors also cleared the field for her in the primary. /s
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: April 10, 2018, 09:27:29 AM »



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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #4 on: April 10, 2018, 09:31:28 AM »

Holy sh**t.

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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #5 on: April 10, 2018, 04:52:49 PM »

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2018/4/10/1755252/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-4-10#update-1523393265000

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This would be an amazing get for Connecticut democrats. I'm going to try to send him an email encouraging him to run.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #6 on: April 11, 2018, 07:06:46 AM »

Very poor numbers for Josh Hawley:



LMAO. Harvard Hawley failing bigly.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #7 on: April 11, 2018, 07:37:04 AM »

ok nvm

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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #8 on: April 12, 2018, 04:55:46 PM »

Young Kim, Republican frontrunner for CA-39 raised $607,000 with no self-funding and had $477,000 cash on hand.

The minute she entered the race I knew she was going to be formidable.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2018, 12:39:43 PM »

Congressman Paul Davis. Nice ring to it.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2018, 01:15:05 PM »

Is anyone else feeling bothered by the fact that an anti-Pelosi Democrat won the IL-12 Democratic nomination, which is a District that voted for Obama twice, and elected a Pelosi supporter in 2012.

Democrats should not be lowering standards like this is in these types of Districts.

No. Brendan Kelly is a stunning recruit.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2018, 01:17:42 PM »

The Koch Bros. will surely figure out this race needs some money for Republicans. It's not far from Wichita.

Shhhh.

If you're reading this Koch brothers, this district is Safe R. No need to spend here. Put your money in VA-Sen and NJ-Sen. Kaine and Menendez are very vulnerable.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #12 on: April 23, 2018, 08:33:27 AM »

Isn't the Virginia primary in just over a month? It doesn't look like Freitas is gonna have the resources to stop Stewart from being the standard bearer. Which is bad news for Scott Taylor

It would help if we got some actual polling.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #13 on: April 26, 2018, 11:23:33 AM »

I'm not sure why you'd move tons of safe Rs to likely Rs while adjusting hardly any other categories. Baby steps I guess.

I can understand it as purely a reaction to AZ-8 and looking at comparable "Safe R" seats.

Maybe so, but no one should take any “expert” at all seriously if they still have VA-10 at tossup at this point LOL

They probably want to see some more polling from VA-10... I think the DCCC internal had Wexton leading Comstock 46-43 in February.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #14 on: April 26, 2018, 03:44:35 PM »

I'm surprised they haven't moved GA-12 yet.

I'm still waiting for SOMEONE to rate IN-09 as Likely R.

Carpetbagging only is really an issue during your first election for a seat. Once you are an incumbent you work for the constituents. His flaws that prompted the potential race for the 2016 open seat therefore are gone.

Bruh, look at the WV-02 race in 2016. Your argument is ridiculous.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #15 on: April 26, 2018, 05:21:27 PM »

I'm surprised they haven't moved GA-12 yet.

I'm still waiting for SOMEONE to rate IN-09 as Likely R.

Carpetbagging only is really an issue during your first election for a seat. Once you are an incumbent you work for the constituents. His flaws that prompted the potential race for the 2016 open seat therefore are gone.

Bruh, look at the WV-02 race in 2016. Your argument is ridiculous.
Why draw attention to a race the Republican won handily?

Because even though the Republican won handily, he deeply underperformed the district's partisan lean.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #16 on: May 08, 2018, 10:49:51 PM »

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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #17 on: May 10, 2018, 09:30:26 AM »

Big boost for Republicans -->

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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #18 on: May 14, 2018, 10:06:28 AM »

Wow. https://www.politico.com/story/2018/05/14/california-republicans-midterms-walters-584289

Politico: A GOP surprise: House midterm hopes rise in blue California

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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #19 on: May 14, 2018, 10:07:28 AM »

Looks like it's "Dems in Disarray" day for the national media.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #20 on: May 14, 2018, 12:44:03 PM »
« Edited: May 15, 2018, 07:07:50 AM by LimoLiberal »


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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #21 on: May 14, 2018, 12:50:20 PM »

No dem enthusiasm in Oregon -->



Having a regression episode today?



Democrats have no real competitive primaries in the state, so it should't be surprising.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #22 on: May 16, 2018, 09:45:31 AM »

Another shift to Rs -->

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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #23 on: May 16, 2018, 10:03:08 AM »

Another shift to Rs -->



Another? This was the first shift toward the Republicans in any of the qualitative projections that I can remember.

OH-16 shifted from Likely R to Safe R as well.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #24 on: May 19, 2018, 09:58:22 AM »

Republican enthusiasm in VA-06

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