One Term Floridian
swamiG
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,041
Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13
|
 |
« on: November 18, 2020, 11:58:13 PM » |
|
Final Senate Prediction 2020
Safe D: 43
Likely D: 2
Lean D: 1
Tilt D: 2
Tilt R: 2
Lean R: 3
Likely R: 5
Safe R: 42
Democratic: 48 (+1)
Republican: 52 (-1)
States (rounded to nearest 0.5%)
AL: 58.0% Tuberville, 41.0% Jones
AK: 52.0% Sullivan, 43.0% Galvin
AZ: 51.0% Kelly, 48.0% McSally
CO: 52.5% Hickenlooper, 45.0% Gardner
GA: 51.0% Perdue, 46.5% Ossoff
GA-S: 43.0% Warnock, 25.5% Collins, 23.0% Loeffler (toss-up on 2nd place) --> 51.5% Collins, 48.5% Warnock
IA: 51.5% Ernst, 47.0% Greenfield
KS: 54.5% Marshall, 44.0% Bollier
ME: 50.5% Collins, 48.5% Gideon --> 50.5% Collins, 49.5% Gideon if RCV
MI: 49.0% Peters, 48.5% James
MN: 49.5% Smith, 47.0% Lewis
MT: 53.5% Daines, 46.5% Bullock
NH: 54.5% Shaheen, 44.5% Messner
NC: 50.0% Tillis, 48.5% Cunningham
SC: 54.0% Graham, 45.0% Harrison
TX: 52.0% Cornyn, 45.5% Hegar
Maine and Michigan are the races I'm least sure about. Maine is surely a bold call - not a single poll has Collins leading - but I think she's overperforming Trump by enough in them to make this at least close.
Well done! |
