County Predictions per. State, 2012 (user search)
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  County Predictions per. State, 2012 (search mode)
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Author Topic: County Predictions per. State, 2012  (Read 2410 times)
fezzyfestoon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,204
United States


« on: October 07, 2010, 08:38:28 PM »

The GOP is going to win Colorado by 12 points?  A swing of 21%?  Meaning they'll win by about 14% nationally?  Reagan only won by 18% to put that into perspective.  And that's not what Colorado would look like if that were the case.
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fezzyfestoon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,204
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2010, 08:58:36 PM »

Not only will 2012 be nothing like 1984, Colorado's voting patterns look nothing like they did then either.  Terrible comparison, terrible map.  Sorry, but it's just ridiculous.  Here's a (shitty) map of a win of that caliber in 2012, which is almost impossible:
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fezzyfestoon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,204
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2010, 09:06:12 PM »

Not only will 2012 be nothing like 1984, Colorado's voting patterns look nothing like they did then either.  Terrible comparison, terrible map.  Sorry, but it's just ridiculous.  Here's a (shitty) map of a win of that caliber in 2012, which is almost impossible:

I'm not saying it's going to be like 1984, it will be ALMOST like 2004 but with more votes for the GOP.

Demographics change and it's not always going to be 2008

55/43 for the GOP is nothing like 2004 and I just said demographics change...something you didn't adjust for at all, especially when you suggested 2012 will look like 1984.
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