2018 Irish 8th Amendment (Abortion) Referendum

[Tintrlvr]

The amount of handwringing in this thread for such a lopsided result, if the exit poll is anywhere remotely close to true...

[Tintrlvr]

Wexford 68.40%-31.60%

Was 73% in favor of the 8th amendment in 1983.

[Tintrlvr]

The region with the lowest support right now is Roscommon-Galway, with 57.21% - 42.79% for Yes. In 2015, it was the only region to vote against Gay Marriage.

Mayo came in just now at 57.07% Yes, so slightly less than Roscommon-Galway. Still possible that Donegal, Sligo-Leitrim or Cavan-Monaghan could be stronger for No than Mayo (I could even see Donegal actually voting No).

Also, the constituencies have changed since the same-sex marriage referendum. Results in the former Roscommon-South Leitrim are not directly translatable to the current Roscommon-Galway (especially since Leitrim is a more socially conservative area than Galway).

Dun Laoghaire at 77.06% Yes is the strongest Yes thus far, narrowly ahead of Dublin Fingal at 76.96% Yes; the only possible remaining constituency that could beat it is Dublin Bay South.

[Tintrlvr]

The region with the lowest support right now is Roscommon-Galway, with 57.21% - 42.79% for Yes. In 2015, it was the only region to vote against Gay Marriage.

Mayo came in just now at 57.07% Yes, so slightly less than Roscommon-Galway. Still possible that Donegal, Sligo-Leitrim or Cavan-Monaghan could be stronger for No than Mayo (I could even see Donegal actually voting No).

Cavan-Monaghan at 55.46% Yes, currently the lowest. Still nothing from Donegal or Sligo-Leitrim.

[Tintrlvr]

YES! Chock one up for the good guys.

Some demographic breakdowns are coming in from the exit poll now. Only age group to vote 'no' was over 65s. Helps the interpretation that the fanatical resistance to abortion, at least in Ireland, is a product of a generation.

https://twitter.com/lisaocarroll/status/1000275400495386625

Fianna Fail supporters voting No is interesting. I suppose it's another sign that Fianna Fail should change its name to "Fianna Fail - the Pensioners' Party" given that even rural voters and farmers were overall Yes. Not the best sign for the party's long-term chances of revival.