WI- Marquette Polling: Tie

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Egg in the face for all the complacent Red Avatars here. You can't win Wisconsin on Milwaukee/Madison alone, and anyone else saying other wise is a fool. The WOW suburbs + the Dem collapse in the rurals will hand Walker an extremely easy victory that would hearken back to the Tommy Thompson days of the 90s. 

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

51% say WI is on the Right Track

41% say WI is on the Wrong Track

Likely Voters

Tells you a lot.

Yep, hard to argue with those numbers. Where was everyone telling us to wait for Marquette?

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Many of the rurals are not showing favorable strength to Republicans as evidenced by primary totals. Walker is definitely at a disadvantage asking for a third term. Even he has as much admitted that he's going to have trouble.

I'm gonna trust the Gold Standard Marquette poll over wonky primary numbers that have no bearing with actual results.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

51% say WI is on the Right Track

41% say WI is on the Wrong Track

Likely Voters

Tells you a lot.

Yep, hard to argue with those numbers. Where was everyone telling us to wait for Marquette?

It depends on how you want to look at it.  If I was Walker, I would be quite concerned that a poll that is +10 on right track/wrong track only has me tied.  The numbers for Vukmir and Trump also imply that they got an R-friendly sample.  Marquette is a good pollster, but it's just one poll, and margin of error exists for all pollsters, good or bad.

In any case, this race still a toss-up. 

...or you can look it as...Walker has a lot of room to grow with undecideds. Also, Vukmir is riding on Walker coattails, which explains her excellent numbers.