Is Heitkamp Really DOA In The Election This Time? 2018 GE Edition (user search)
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  Is Heitkamp Really DOA In The Election This Time? 2018 GE Edition (search mode)
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Question: Is Heitkamp Really DOA This Time In This Election? 2018 GE Edition
#1
Yes
#2
No
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Author Topic: Is Heitkamp Really DOA In The Election This Time? 2018 GE Edition  (Read 4904 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: October 06, 2018, 07:45:44 PM »

She isn’t completely DOA, but she’s in an even worse position than Heller, which is sayin something.

I agree. Heitkamp still has a chance of winning, but it is definitely less than 50% at this point. Probably around 30% or 40%, taking the national environment into account. If only one incumbent Democrat loses in 2018, it will be her. McCaskill and Donnelly aren't completely out of the danger zone yet however, but their odds of winning are higher than Heitkamp's.

Heitkamp will probably lose by mid single digits, ~4-6% or so. Her loss will complete North Dakota's realignment into a solidly Republican state at all levels. Democrats, I believe, are done for in most of the Mountain West, and will be for decades to come.
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Calthrina950
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*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2018, 12:06:00 PM »

She isn’t completely DOA, but she’s in an even worse position than Heller, which is sayin something.

I agree. Heitkamp still has a chance of winning, but it is definitely less than 50% at this point. Probably around 30% or 40%, taking the national environment into account. If only one incumbent Democrat loses in 2018, it will be her. McCaskill and Donnelly aren't completely out of the danger zone yet however, but their odds of winning are higher than Heitkamp's.

Heitkamp will probably lose by mid single digits, ~4-6% or so. Her loss will complete North Dakota's realignment into a solidly Republican state at all levels. Democrats, I believe, are done for in most of the Mountain West, and will be for decades to come.
"For decades to come". A little absurd I think.

In what way? Do you think that these states are going to shift back to the Democrats soon? Because that's not what I am seeing happen.
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