People are letting their overconfidence show through again by immediately dismissing this poll. It is not over until it's over. While I firmly believe, based upon the early turnout numbers, that Rosen will win at this point, I don't think celebration is yet warranted.
I'm agreeing with you. While Rosen certainly has the edge it's never over until it's over.
The same has to be kept in mind for all of the other competitive races. The early turnout numbers in Indiana, Missouri, West Virginia, North Dakota, Tennessee, and Florida do not tell us what will happen in those states.