KY-GOV: Bevin reportedly considering withdrawing

[Calthrina950]

It doesn't matter whether Bevin withdraws or not. Kentucky will go Republican no matter what.

[Calthrina950]

It doesn't matter whether Bevin withdraws or not. Kentucky will go Republican no matter what.

And the 8 point lead has nothing to do with it? KY is tilting Democratic, Beshear's father was popular.

You were very overconfident about Democratic chances in Republican states this year. Kentucky is not voting Democratic any time soon, not for Governor, not for Senate, and not for any other office.

[Calthrina950]

Will people not learn from Bredesen?  This race is Likely R with or without Bevin.

[Calthrina950]

If Bevin drops out, this race becomes Titanium R.

Agreed

Depending on whom they nominate to succeed him, the Kentucky Republican Party will be better off with him out of the race. 

Most likely yes

Will people not learn from Bredesen?  This race is Likely R with or without Bevin.

Bredesen was a flawed candidate and Blackburn is more popular than Bevin

Bredesen was actually by far the best candidate the Democrats had in Tennessee imo tbh. On the other hand I agree with you that Blackburn is more popular and a stronger candidate than Bevin is.

Also Senate races are different from gubernatorial ones.

Though becoming increasingly less so. Kansas was the only "Safe Republican" state where Democrats won the governorship in 2018. They fell short in Oklahoma and South Dakota, and also lost in Ohio, Iowa, and Florida, which are becoming increasingly Republican. In fact, Ohio is pretty close to being a Safe Republican state at this point, and will become one after a few more cycles at the presidential level, while Florida, though a swing state, has been consistently Republican-leaning since the 1950s.

[Calthrina950]

Will people not learn from Bredesen?  This race is Likely Safe R with or without Bevin.

Don't forget Edmondson!

I did not forget about him. And you are right: Kentucky is Safe Republican.