FL-GOV 2018: Ron DeSantis vs. Andrew Gillum: Who wins?

[2016]

GOP up 45,000 in early votes.

That is expected. Republicans generally do better in the Mail-In Balloting.

[2016]

I cannot believe Gillum is leading this Race with the Policies he proposes. That guy is a joke.

[2016]

I cannot believe Gillum is leading this Race with the Policies he proposes. That guy is a joke.

If I've learned anything from 2016, it is that the pollsters are all full of hooey.

Let's be serious. That Gillum Guy would be an absolute disaster for Florida.

[2016]

I cannot believe Gillum is leading this Race with the Policies he proposes. That guy is a joke.

If I've learned anything from 2016, it is that the pollsters are all full of hooey.

Sorry to say, Sanchez, but I have a feeling that you're gonna get a nasty shock come election day.

I'll literally eat a MAGA hat if Gillum actually wins this.

Gillum looking like a 10 year old kid.

[2016]

If Gillum is Governor FL may very well have to impeach him or secede from the Country.

[2016]

Gillum is a 10 year old prolly.

[2016]

If Gillum/Nelson really win by the margins Siena is suggesting Democrats will pick up 5-7 House Seats in Florida alone. Unbelievable.

[2016]

Gillum maybe or maybe not leading the Race in Polls. That being said there are some warning signs for the Gillum Campaign. If you look at all the Polls combined that we have in FL Gillum's Campaign is buoyed by strong Turnout of Young People (18-29). That fuels his Candidacy.

According to Marc Caputo only 5% of 18-29 have cast Ballots thus far

THE YOUNG PEOPLE WILL ... STAY HOME? — Remember all that talk of how “the young people will win” and come out in force in Florida, especially after the Parkland massacre? So far, it’s not happening. Voters between the ages of 18-29 are 17 percent of the registered voters in Florida but have only cast 5 percent of the ballots so far. They tend to vote more Democratic. Meanwhile, voters 65 and older are 18.4 percent of the electorate but have cast 51.4 percent of the ballots. And older voters tend to vote more Republican.

THE WHITES WILL ... VOTE HEAVILY — In looking at votes by race, whites (who also tend to vote more Republican) are crushing it. Non-whites (who vote heavily Democratic) aren’t. So far, white people have cast 72.7 percent of the pre-Election Day ballots, even though they’re 63.3 percent of the registered Florida voters. African-Americans have cast just 10.4 percent of the ballots, but they’re 13.3 percent of the registered Florida voters. Hispanics have cast just 11.7 percent of the ballots, but they’re 16.5 percent of the electorate. The black turnout numbers should change after we get statewide numbers from Sunday, the first of two “Souls to the Polls” days for after-church voting. In Jacksonville’s Duval County (a GOP-leaning county where a majority of Democrats are black), a strong early vote gave Democrats an edge of 493 votes over Republicans.

Those are definitly some warning signs for Gillum.