2016
Junior Chimp
Posts: 7,749
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« on: October 22, 2018, 04:00:31 PM » |
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Let's be real: Many of these Races will come to TURNOUT, TURNOUT, TURNOUT....
CNN is projecting D + 3 (40/37/23) Electorate which is unheard of in Florida and would be the 1st Time I think since 1998 when Jeb got elected Governor or maybe ever.
OnMessage is projecting a R + 1 Electorate.
This is a HUGE Difference. In a Race where Nelson leads by 3-6 Points right now if you believe these latest Polls having a D + 3 Electorate instead of a R + 1 makes all the Difference being down 5 or up 5 Points.
Moreover the 2014 Exit Polls showed R35/I33/D31 a R + 4. Going from R + 4 to D + 3 is in no way believable.
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