2013 Senate Control

[Torie]

There is now a distinct possibility that it will be another wave election, in which event a host of Dem Senators would be very vulnerable, and subject to all going down together. In other words, the result outcomes between individual races have a fairly high level of correlation. So it might be just about as likely that the Dems will lose 3 seats, as it is that they will lose say 8 seats. Dem losses hitting double digits are not out of the question. The thing is, these individual races are very nationalized now.  Heck, that runs down to the state legislative level these days. Folks are voting straight party tickets.

[Torie]

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I suspect there are, and if the election were held today, with new maps, the Pubbies would pick up the bulk of them, maybe in the high teens. It depends in part on whether New York gets a non partisan map, which would put a bunch of Dem CD's in play, which today I think they might well lose. Right now the environment for the Dems is just terrible. Who knows what it will be in 13 months, of course.